Gayle: “For the time being, my money stays home.”
Global Funds Raise Stock Allocations at the Expense of Cash: Reuters Poll
Analyst View: Reuters October global asset allocation poll
"The U.S. reliance on global trade is lower than that of our trading partners, and that lower relative exposure has been a benefit to domestic markets.
"The preponderance of negative bond yields outside the U.S. along with the relatively stronger economy here at home makes us prefer domestic bonds.
"Monetary authorities are doing all they can to support economic growth, and this is appreciated by the equity markets. That said, the risks of a fiscal policy misstep are mounting, and that could overwhelm actions by central banks.
"Our asset allocation strategy will be driven most by developments in the U.S.-China trade war, but a Brexit deal or the emergence of German fiscal stimulus would also affect our investment allocation."
Stocks out of favor again as global funds prefer bonds in September: Reuters poll
“There are early signs that global economic momentum may be stabilizing, but the combination of slow growth and elevated geopolitical and trade risks still argue for a measure of caution,” said Alan Gayle, president at Via Nova Investment Management in Washington, D.C. “While most of the challenges facing the global economy are self-inflicted - trade, Brexit, etc. - the odds of a miscalculation by elected officials is rising.”
Global Funds Raise Equities to Highest in Nearly a Year: Reuters Pol
U.S. funds prefer domestic assets and a but bigger cash buffer
"The combination of aggressive Federal Reserve rate hikes, an escalating and potentially prolonged trade dispute with China and the upcoming mid-term elections has generated a great deal of anxiety for the markets," said Alan Gayle, president of Via Nova Investment Management. "Fear and uncertainty are currently dominating market psychology."
U.S. fund managers leave allocations largely unchanged
"We are in a battle between facts and fears," said Alan Gayle, president at Via Nova Investment Management. "The facts are a strengthening economy with increased employment, earnings and spending which is helping to fuel impressive sales and earnings growth for companies. The two main fears are how fast the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates and how far trade tensions will escalate. These risks have grown in recent months."
World stocks hit month peak; dollar firms to three-week high
Treasury yield milestone may augur changing tide for risk
“I don't think that the 3 percent level necessarily makes bonds a buy,” said Alan Gayle, president of Via Nova Investment Management in Fredericksburg, Virginia. “I don't think investors should be abandoning stocks when the economy is growing and earnings are up roughly 20 percent from a year ago.”.
Stock Market Outlook: Back to a More Volatile Normal?
"2018 is shaping up as a year when we’ll see tension between economic strength and the policy reaction to that...
By March, we should start to see some traction from tax reform,” says Alan Gayle, president at Via Nova Investment Management, a registered investment advisor. While working Americans already have seen some benefit in their take-home pay — which could translate to more spending — publicly traded companies still are “digesting the nuances” of tax reform, he adds.